- Reaction score
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...on one hand it's good for the Canadian consumer cuz it makes products priced in US dollars or imported from there cheaper.
But on the other hand it usually forecasts a slowing US economy. And if it rises too fast its often an indicator that a recession is imminent.
The optimal exchange rate the powers that be want is about 75 cents to the US dollar. It's 80 cents now. 90 cents starts to get very high. If it's on par 1:1 it's often a sign the US economy is in trouble.
Happened in 2010 or so.
Anyway that exchange rate is just a barometer.
A high Canadian dollar means that price of oil is high. When it gets too high the American elites/business class throws up its hands in frustration and sez "Time for a recession. We ain't paying those prices no more!"
That's what I've observed in the past.
But on the other hand it usually forecasts a slowing US economy. And if it rises too fast its often an indicator that a recession is imminent.
The optimal exchange rate the powers that be want is about 75 cents to the US dollar. It's 80 cents now. 90 cents starts to get very high. If it's on par 1:1 it's often a sign the US economy is in trouble.
Happened in 2010 or so.
Anyway that exchange rate is just a barometer.
A high Canadian dollar means that price of oil is high. When it gets too high the American elites/business class throws up its hands in frustration and sez "Time for a recession. We ain't paying those prices no more!"
That's what I've observed in the past.