Nate Silver also predicted a landslide for Hilary Clinton. He then spent four years claiming it wasn't his fault that he was wrong. Did you know old Mate is just a poll reader and he has never actually conducted a poll in his life?
Well, we'll just have to wait and see, won't we?
"Silver was named one of
by
in 2009 after an election forecasting system he developed successfully predicted the outcomes in 49 of the 50 states in the
.
In the
, the forecasting system correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states and the
.
FiveThirtyEight, like many outlets, said
had a lower probability of victory in the
than
.
However, the 28% chance of victory they gave Trump going into election day was significantly higher than that of most other analysts, and FiveThirtyEight discussed a Trump win as a distinct possibility, while most media treated it as a remote, if not near-impossible, outcome.
In 2020, FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted
's victory in the election, forecasting 48 out of 50 states correctly."