First of all, why do you believe the banks are buying the gold, and what do you think they are doing with the gold they buy? Melting it into gold bars and selling it. What else?
Every year 2600 tonnes of gold is mined but not needed for manufacturing. So why is it valuable?
@Seamajor Maybe you can help Senile
@Joe out with this....
Gold is collateral. Banks need it if there's a run on them Lex
@The Prowler.
I'm sure you're familiar with Silicon Valley Bank & First Republic, right?
They went under. That's the sort of thing that happens to a bank when they don't have enough collateral or capital to cover shortfalls or runs. And don't forget all the US government/corporate debt which is coming due in 2026. Moving forward, even stable coin will be backed increasingly by Gold and its holders are buying up a lot of it lately. Just do a google search on them.
I know.
And we all have been told since we could talk that gold is valuable.
But stop and think for a minute. They are mining over 2600 tonnes more gold every year than they require for manufacturing...
Someone is getting nervous & scared of an eventual financial reset. So when there's a fallout, they wanna be protected, eh. Plus there are all these wars going on and they have to be paid for somehow. Where's there's War, Gold becomes very popular. Was the same in World War I and II.
How can anyone be sure that this is not just a Pump and Dump scheme?
With such an over-supply, how can you be so confident that they will not be a correction?
It's quite possible. And many economists and investors have raised that possibility that large holders of gold like China, India or Russia could dump their reserves on the market to control the price. That's why I mostly stopped buying gold when it reached $2500 US per ounce because I'm always aware of what you've mentioned - a possible pullback or sharp decline in price. so - if Gold hits $5000 or $6000 or even $7000 per ounce, and there's a correction, fall up to 40%. In which case, if an investor bought too high, like $5 or $6 k and it falls they're SOL. So either way I didn't pay too much Lex. If it falls, I still don't lose because I bought most of it LOW at $2000 or less. At very worst, I'll roughly break even.
Anyways Prowler, that's why I got outta silver for the reasons you mentioned. Silver is like the 'bitcoin of the metals'. Not very stable or reliable, eh? If gold gets whacked in a correction, Silver will get hit twice as hard. Sometimes it's gone down 80-90% from its peak. I decided to sell the silver now rather than later, take the risk of a sharp pullback and put it into Gold. Tho also vulnerable, it's not nearly as volatile and subject to as a high a potential price drop as Silver.
Do you know what it costs to mine an ounce of gold? AISC is usually under $1500. Obviously that will depend on many factors....but given that it can be mined for $1500 an ounce....given that there are enough reserves to supply manufacturing for decades....are you following?!??
That's why according industry insiders, mining engineers I've spoken to, major Gold mining stocks are doing well right now. Like Agnico or Barrick. Because the higher the price goes, the greater the profit for them. So if it Gold hits $5000 in 2026, which looks very likely, Gold mining shares will shoot up.
Mind you....word of caution here...gold, silver, anything miners are time sensitive investments. Kind of thing where a person sells when the price shoots really high, cash in , eh? Cuz just like physical gold, the miners can really pull back in price.
As a rule, try to avoid putting more than 10% of your capital into Gold or other mining stocks. I'm a bit heavy in some atm and I'd like to trim or get rid of some over the holidays.
Why do you trust that it is worth $4,500 an ounce? I mean, I know that is what it is trading/selling for...but....
War, Geopolitical conflict. Political re-alignment. The New COLD WAR is between the USA vs China. Everything, including the AI boom and the metals, minerals, gas it needs to fuel is tied to it right now.
Anyways, I feel that my efforts are wasted here. Fuckin' Senile Joe talks about stocks but does not have the first clue. And you guys both talk like precious metals are a sure thing. Hopefully the ride continues....but what is happening is kinda crazy and it sure as heck is not a sure thing.
No, I for one don't think that metals are a sure thing Prowler. They are time-sensitive investments. Make yer money while you can if you're invested. But get out or at least sell some of it while it is up and lock in your gains.
And yes, altho I'm up 10% since I started investing, I'm essentially a novice investor. I've just chosen as many stocks over as many sectors as I can to diversify the portfolio. But I also plan to get into ETFs later on to provide more of a cushion for the portfolio.
I am highly aware that a stock portfolio can drop significantly in value on a dime. I'll try to avoid getting to smug or complacent in this business, that's fer sure.