The BO ZACK NFL Football Pick'em Thread

[jack]

My BEARS get the Vikings next week I think. Should be a wild one.

They look awesome this past week. But look at my Giants!

 

[jack]

New England @ Seattle

Thursday, September 10, 2026
San Francisco @Los Angeles Rams

Sunday, September 13, 2026
Tampa Bay @ Cincinnati
New Orleans @ Detroit
New York Jets @ Tennessee
Baltimore @ Indianapolis
Atlanta @ Pittsburgh
Chicago @ Carolina
Cleveland @ Jacksonville
Buffalo @ Houston
Miami @ Las Vegas
Green Bay @ Minnesota
Washington @ Philadelphia
Arizona @ Los Angeles Chargers
Dallas @ New York Giants

Monday, September 14, 2026
Denver @ Kansas City

Week 1: 10-6

 

[Alfred E. Neutrump]

I went 10-6.

 

[Holliday 3000]

...but how did you do against the spread?

 

[Alfred E. Neutrump]

...but how did you do against the spread?

Usually I go with mayo, but guacamole is a pretty good second choice.

 

[Holliday 3000]

 

[Alfred E. Neutrump]

Calling the Bills to win tonight's game.

 

[Alfred E. Neutrump]

Thanks, Holli.

 

[BO ZACK]

NFL WEEK 1 RESULTS

BO ZACK: 11-5
Alfred E. Neutrump: 10-6
Jack: 10-6
Reggie_Essent: 9-7


Did I miss anyone?

 

[Holliday 3000]

NFL WEEK 1 RESULTS

BO ZACK: 11-5
Alfred E. Neutrump: 10-6
Jack: 10-6
Reggie_Essent: 9-7


Did I miss anyone?

How did you do against the spread, Bo?

 

[Reggie_Essent]

I'm calling the Bills in tonights game as well. Fuck Detroit!

 

[BO ZACK]

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WEEK 2

Thursday, September 17, 2026
Detroit @ Buffalo

Sunday, September 20, 2026
Carolina @ Atlanta
Minnesota @ Chicago
Philadelphia @ Tennessee
Pittsburgh @ New England
Green Bay @ New York Jets
Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
New Orleans @ Baltimore
Cincinnati @ Houston
Jacksonville @ Denver
Las Vegas @ Los Angeles Chargers
Washington @ Dallas
Seattle @ Arizona
Miam @ San Francisco
Indianapolis @ Kansas City

Monday, September 21, 2026
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams

 

[Alfred E. Neutrump]

Bills
Falcons
Bears
Eagles
Patriots
Jets
Buccaneers
Ravens
Texans
Broncos
Chargers
Cowboys
Seahawks
Niners
Chiefs
Rams

 

[Reggie_Essent]

WEEK 2

Thursday, September 17, 2026
Detroit @ Buffalo

Sunday, September 20, 2026
Carolina @ Atlanta
Minnesota @ Chicago
Philadelphia @ Tennessee
Pittsburgh @ New England
Green Bay @ New York Jets
Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
New Orleans @ Baltimore
Cincinnati @ Houston
Jacksonville @ Denver
Las Vegas @ Los Angeles Chargers
Washington @ Dallas
Seattle @ Arizona
Miam @ San Francisco
Indianapolis @ Kansas City

Monday, September 21, 2026
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams

 

[jack]

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WEEK 2

Thursday, September 17, 2026
Detroit @ Buffalo

Sunday, September 20, 2026
Carolina @ Atlanta
Minnesota @ Chicago
Philadelphia @ Tennessee
Pittsburgh @ New England
Green Bay @ New York Jets
Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
New Orleans @ Baltimore
Cincinnati @ Houston
Jacksonville @ Denver
Las Vegas @ Los Angeles Chargers
Washington @ Dallas
Seattle @ Arizona
Miam @ San Francisco
Indianapolis @ Kansas City

Monday, September 21, 2026
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams

BO ZACK said:

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WEEK 2

Thursday, September 17, 2026
Detroit @ Buffalo

Sunday, September 20, 2026
Carolina @ Atlanta
Minnesota @ Chicago
Philadelphia @ Tennessee
Pittsburgh @ New England
Green Bay @ New York Jets
Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
New Orleans @ Baltimore
Cincinnati @ Houston
Jacksonville @ Denver
Las Vegas @ Los Angeles Chargers
Washington @ Dallas
Seattle @ Arizona
Miam @ San Francisco
Indianapolis @ Kansas City

Monday, September 21, 2026
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams my picks in bold

 

[BO ZACK]

My WEEK 2 Picks

Detroit @ Buffalo
Carolina @ Atlanta
Minnesota @ Chicago
Philadelphia @ Tennessee
Pittsburgh @ New England
Green Bay @ New York Jets: New York Jets 2-0?
Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
New Orleans @ Baltimore
Cincinnati @ Houston
Jacksonville @ Denver
Las Vegas @ Los Angeles Chargers
Washington @ Dallas
Seattle @ Arizona
Miami @ San Francisco
Indianapolis @ Kansas City
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams: According to me, The super team LA Rams will be 0-2

My Picks in bold

 

[jack]

New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams: According to me, The super team LA Rams will be 0-2

Giants were pretty awesome last week so I was hesitant, but I think the rams will kick ass .

 

[BO ZACK]

How did you do against the spread, Bo?

Spread? I spread peanut butter and jelly between two slices of bread or a biscuit.

 

[Scooter]

I'm picking the Bills to win tonight.

 

[Holliday 3000]

I'm picking the Bills to win tonight.

...and while thinking about that first game at Highmark, let's all thank Governor Hochul for that beautiful new stadium.
So much like the Colosseum in Rome.

 

[Holliday 3000]

Spread? I spread peanut butter and jelly between two slices of bread or a biscuit.

So if an 11 and 0 team at home meets a 0-11 team you might pick the team with the better record but haven't the confidence to say how much they will win by? LoLz

Picking winners and losers is for posers.
Pick against the spread. Show us what you got.

 

[Reggie_Essent]

So if an 11 and 0 team at home meets a 0-11 team you might pick the team with the better record but haven't the confidence to say how much they will win by? LoLz

Picking winners and losers is for posers.
Pick against the spread. Show us what you got.

So how much do you lose batting the "spread?" Is that why you'll only poast a pic of your shadow because some Bookie is after you?

 

[Holliday 3000]

So how much do you lose batting the "spread?" Is that why you'll only poast a pic of your shadow because some Bookie is after you?

I never bet, but if you want to separate the posers from the pros then you guys should make your pics against the spread.
Requires a bit more knowledge of the game.

Bills -5.5 tonight.
Oh, looks like the Bills are the favored team at home. I'll pick them to win. LoLz

 

[BO ZACK]

I just pick the team I like best, no spread. Don't care who's on the injured reserve list. I was 11-5 in week 1, I won.

NFL WEEK 1 RESULTS

BO ZACK: 11-5
Alfred E. Neutrump: 10-6
Jack: 10-6
Reggie_Essent: 9-7


Did I miss anyone?

 

[Scooter]

Detroit @ Buffalo

Carolina @ Atlanta

Minnesota @ Chicago

Philadelphia @ Tennessee
Pittsburgh @ New England
Green Bay @ New York Jets
Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
New Orleans @ Baltimore
Cincinnati @ Houston
Jacksonville @ Denver
Las Vegas @ Los Angeles Chargers
Washington @ Dallas
Seattle @ Arizona
Miami @ San Francisco
Indianapolis @ Kansas City

New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams

 

[Alfred E. Neutrump]

This has definitely been the weekend of surprises. I haven't checked my total, but it won't be pretty. Book it.

 

[Alfred E. Neutrump]

Wow, uglier than I thought. I only called three games so far. Sads.

 

[Holliday 3000]

Terrible end to the half for Washington.
. Take the points to begin with.
No need to go all or nothing in that situation
but then the injury to Daniels.

Ooops, wrong thread again.

 

[Holliday 3000]

NFL favorites cover the spread roughly 48% to 50% of the time long-term (about 48% over a 10-season sample, close to a 50/50 split due to market efficiency). [

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Quick Facts on NFL Spread Coverage

• • Straight-up win rate for favorites: ~66% to 75% (depending on size of spread).
  • Against-the-spread (ATS) rate: ~48%–49% (market makers price lines tightly, landing near coin-flip results).
  • Home vs. away split: Home favorites cover slightly less often (~46–40% in some specific historical slices) compared to baseline expectation, while road/underdog splits shift slightly.
  • Break-even standard: Standard -110 juice requires a 52.38% cover rate to turn a profit, meaning raw 48% cover rates lose money long-term. [
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Breakdown of NFL Betting Metrics

Metric	Historical Average / Rate	Notes
Favorite Win Rate (Straight-Up)	~66.2% – 74.7%	Higher for heavy favorites (-4 or more)
Favorite Cover Rate (ATS)	~48% – 49%	Varies by year (e.g., individual seasons hit ~53.9% rarely)
Break-Even Win Rate (-110 juice)	52.38%	Required to beat standard vig

 

[Holliday 3000]

Great game though I was rooting for Jones and Indi.
. So who took Colts and the points?